This past Sunday afternoon of playoff football was by far the best 2 games of the playoffs this season. Sure, the Colts and Jets game was done after the colts took a two score lead, but before that it was pretty impressive, but the Saints/Vikings game was an ass load full of entertainment. You had Purple Jesus fumbling the ball left and right. You had Brett Favre playing like a kid, leading the league in smiles, and just gunslinging the ball into the hands of Vikings defenders, ultimately losing the game for his team. It was non stop entertainment and sure I was drunk most the time, but Goddammit, it was for my dollar the best weekend of playoff football yet.
I don’t even know if the Super Bowl can come close to this weekend. You had an overtime game, you had parts of games that were defensive masterpieces, you had parts of games that were offensive explosions, you had untimely pentalties, you had untimely turnovers, you had untimely fumbles and dropped interceptions that weren’t turnovers but should have been, you had challenges, booth reviews, and you had Brett Favre getting beat into the ground and looking like the old man that he is. The Saints win and the Colts win. Fun times.
This is what the NFL playoffs should be about. The previous Wild Card and Divisional games that preceeded this weekend of AFC and NFC Championships really cannot even compare. For both these games, you had two relatively evenly matched oppenents facing off their strength vs the other teams strength in a battle for the ultimate conquest…a chance at the Lombardi Trophy. The Jets’ suffocating defense versus the robotically efficient Colts’ offense. MATCHUP! The Vikings’ high flying offense and intense defense versus the Saints’ even more high flying offense and even more intense defense. MATCHUP!
Sorry to sound like an NFL fanboy but I was in heaven watching these games. If parity rules in the NFL then I hope every weekend is like this. Now, we have the Saints in their very first Super Bowl appearance versus the Colts.
The Colts are an extremely efficient offense that thrives on not making any mistakes with their precise attack and they are going against a defense that thrives on forcing their opponents into making mistakes. The Saints offense isn’t as efficient but their firepower makes up for it in that they have so many weapons to get the balls into the hands of, not to mention a quarterback that can put the ball into the hands of the playmakers when they are open. The Colts’ defense is solid, but will certainly have trouble matching up against the numerous options the Saints have.
This might be a Super Bowl I am genuinely excited about for the first time in a long time. Two high powered offenses against two generally decent defenses makes for a pretty evenly matched game with plenty of fireworks. Hooray for the NFL, David Stern couldn’t have planned for a better championship game.
Herschel Walker is one bad dude. He won the Heisman Trophy in college, was an USFL and NFL all-pro, a member of the US Olympic Bobsled Team, a fifth-degree black belt in tae kwon do and now, at 47 years old he apparently is just getting started. Walker is set to fight Greg Nagy in a STRIKEFORCE MMA bout on Jan. 30 at the Florida Panthers’ arena.
I mean if ex-athlete can do it, certainly he can do it, right? This guy was and, from some hardly independent doctor’s accounts, still is a physical freak. Who knows, Herschel could be the next Kimbo Slice like MMA phenomenon if he is any good. Certainly he’s got more skills than Slice since he is a 5th degree black belt. This might be enough to get even more eyes on the ever growing MMA sport.
No odds are posted for this fight that I could find, but we’ll keep you updated on that…well probably not, we’re not too good on following up stories here. In any case, I have to imagine that Walker is the favorite, Nagy’s overall record is just 1-1 and he is a virtual unknown in the MMA world. This has to be a setup.
Another week, another pick em. I must admit, its getting a little old doing the pick ems. This week, time ran short on me and I am putting them up late. Thats the horrible thing about working a day job and having blogging be your night gig. If you actually go to sleep at a reasonable time of night, you don’t get much blogging done. So, basically, blame me having to meet my hours requirement for the year on not posting. Nevertheless, I would be remiss if I missed a week’s worth of picks.
Last week, I went 6-8, a truly disappointing number for sure. Also went winless on the Upset Special and Lock of the Week. Not good for my overall stats, which now stand at 98-82-2, 7-6 on the Locks and 5-8 on the Upsets. Pretty horrible really, you could probably do just as well picking from a coin toss. Which, the last week, I will do because everyone pretty much knows who is in and out of the playoffs, teams are resting starters ands basically a crapshoot as to who will win.
The picks this week are going to be just the picks, writing up a column takes too much time in front of a computer and after sitting in front of a computer all week making redactions on document after document…well I just need a little break from this fun little box. Its not often I say that about fun boxes either. Anyway, lets give you what you want, the picks. As always, all lines are from TheGreek. Hot cheerleader is Olivia from the Seattle Seahawks. Scroll to the bottom if you want to skip to the Upset Special and the Lock of the Week.*
DENVER +7 at Indianapolis CINCINNATI +6.5 at Minnesota NY Jets at TAMPA BAY +3.5 Buffalo at KANSAS CITY +1 New Orleans at ATLANTA +10 Detroit at BALTIMORE -13.5 Miami at JACKSONVILLE -1 Carolina at NEW ENGLAND -13 SEATTLE +6.5 at Houston Washington at OAKLAND +1 SAN DIEGO +3 at Dallas Philadelphia at NY Giants UNDER 44 ARIZONA -3 at San Francisco
UPSET SPECIAL OF THE WEEK ST. LOUIS +13 at Tennessee
LOCK OF THE WEEK GREEN BAY -3.5 at Chicago
*Deuce of Davenport is only doing this column for entertainment purposes only, you’d be a fool to actually follow any of this advice and/or these picks. We accept no responsibility for anyone actually gambling with these picks.
Last week we went a lame 6-7-2, losing the upset special and winning the lock of the week. Of course, things could’ve changed if i was allowed to pick the ‘Skins and and change my Patriots bet to New Orleans which I did later in my own personal action, but you gotta roll with what ya got, and what I’ve got is an overall record of 92-74 with 2 pushes. My locks of the week are now 7-5 and my upset specials are 5-7. Quite a mirror image there. We know we can do better though and we strive for perfection this week, lucky 13. Shall we get on to the picks? As always, all lines are from TheGreek. Hot cheerleader is Melissa from the Atlanta Falcons. Scroll to the bottom if you want to skip to the Upset Special and the Lock of the Week.*
DENVER -5 at Kansas City
Starting off with a real winner here, eh? I am liking Denver to win this one easily by 5 points, especially after seeing what they did last week against New York, beating them by 20. When Orton is healthy and playing for this Broncos squad they seem to always have a chance and their defensive shortcomings shouldnt get exposed too much against this Chiefs squad. Take the Broncos here easy.
As a side note, I just spilled water all over myself. Whenever I drink any other beverage but water, I take my time with it, taking small enough gulps so that nothing spills out too fast from whatever lip of whatever glass I am drinking from…but not water. With water, the rules of drinking go by the wayside. I will throw my head back and chug that bitch down like I’ve been wandering in the Mojave desert for 3 days. If it spills on me, meh, its just water, it’l dry and it’l be like nothing happens. Normally this isnt too much of an issue, except when I do it at work and I have to hide out in my office until my shirt or pants dry from the water I was splashing on myself. No, i’m not sweating, no, its not pee. Just water. Anyone else do this? Can’t just be me drinking with such reckless abandon.
Oakland at Pittsburgh OVER 37
I hate the large line on this game. Who knows what Big Ben’s head is gonna be like in this game? Who knows how Gradkowski will do against the Steelers D? Who know how well the Steelers will perform without Polamalu yet again? I don’t know any of this. So, personally, I would stay away from this like a $2 beer night in Georgetown. But, if you must be a douche and go, then just take the Over. 37 seems low, like they are daring you to make this bet. Well, take the dare, you’re a douchebag anyway since you’re in georgetown drinking bud lite for 2 bucks, you might as well go home with the ugly girl that is just daring you to dance with her.
HOUSTON +1 at Jacksonville
Both of these teams are pretty middling teams in the NFL at 5-6 and 6-5 respectively. The Titans are in the midst of a 3 game skid and what looks to be another mediocre season, the Jaguars are coming off a loss of their own and are just as average Each team has a star on it with Andre Johnson and Maurice Jones-Drew playing the role of offensive superstars. So who to choose? Well i am taking the Texans here. My analysis? I have none…but that was a nice little lead-up to absolutely nothing huh? Toss a coin here, you could do worse. Take the Texans, get some odds.
PHILADELPHIA -5 at Atlanta
Philly has lost one of their young wide receivers, but another will just sprout up to take his place. It wasn’t so long ago that Philadelphia had no actual talent at wide receiver, now between Jackson, Avant and Maclin they don’t even need former starters Reggie Brown and Kevin Curtis…well with Jackson down this week, Brown and Curtis will have to step right in. The Falcons will be without Matty Ice this week after he fucked over countless fantasy teams last week going out after throwing for 15 yards with what was described as “a toe”.
You never want to see your fantasy football season end in week 12 because your quarterback had a toe injury. Its not like Ryan runs around that much, they have a decent line, why does he need a fully functioning toe? Is he throwing the damn ball with his toe? He isn’t a kicker or punter, and, as a matter of fact, they don’t even kick with their toes. If this was 20 years ago Matt Ryan would’ve cut the toe off and just kept playing a la Ronnie Lott and his finger lo’ these many years ago.
But I guess ya cant go back. Anyway, Chris Redman is starting and while he played well last week, I dont trust him as far as Matt Ryan’s toe will take him on a walkabout. I’m taking the Eagles here.
Detroit at CINCINNATI -13
The Bengals’ offense is not that impressive right now. Their line stinks and they’ve been asking Palmer to do too much lately with no help besides the impressive Ocho Cinco. Luckily, they’re getting back Cedric Benson this week and should be able to move the ball on the ground against the lowly Lions. These Lions are banged up, did you see Calvin Johnson try to move last week? They say he’s alright this week but my 88 year old grandma has more git-up-n-go in her step than him. Stafford is not well either. So you have an injured star receiver, a hurt rookie quarterback and a running back that is average in all ways with average defense and a bad offensive line. Yup, looks like they might not win another game this year. Congrats to them though, they are 2 games better than last year. Take the Bengals here.
NEW ORLEANS -9.5 at Washington
Some weeks I actually want to take my Redskins in some sports betting action, but I don’t because I cannot be a homer gambler anymore. Regardless, this week is not one of those weeks. New Orleans is going to face rape the Redskins. It is going to happen and it won’t be pretty. Bangbus wouldn’t even film this. I am not even sure if I am going to watch this game. Take New Orleans…do not look directly at the television set…just read the box score later. It’l be alright someday Redskins fans.
Tampa Bay at CAROLINA -6
Carolina is starting untested Matt Moore at quarterback, Tampa Bay is starting slightly tested Josh Freeman at quarterback. This is like the futures game of the week in the NFL. I’m going with the total unknown here, he’s got a decent running game and a somewhat solid defense to fall back on while Freeman just has his legs. Take Carolina, buy some Christmas presents for the kids with the money you will win on this one.
St. Louis at CHICAGO -9
This game looks a whole lot like the Detroit one we just talked about, only the Bears are far worse than the Bengals while the Rams might even be worse than the Lions. So why am I taking the bears this week? Well because the Rams shouldnt be able to put enough pressure on Cutler for him to make the mistakes he’s been making lately. I’m so confident in this, i am actually starting him in a must win game for my big money fantasy team this week. My confidence is awesome…and will be my downfall.
Not that you care at all about my fantasy team either but forgive the rant. Just know that I have cut my 2nd and 4th round draft picks, my 1st and 3rd rounders are both hurt and Cutler is my starter this week. I have basically already lost.
San Diego at CLEVELAND +13.5
What is this madness you say? Taking the Browns vs the slightly mighty Chargers? Why am I doing this? Because Mad Max Beyond the Thunderdome is about over an this column isnt even close to being finished. Well that and because as bad as the Browns have been lately, their defense isnt really this bad and its about time for good ole Norville Turner to put on a real stinker of a game after they’ve been playing well these past few weeks. On the road, heavy favorites…I dont like it. 2 MEN ENTER 1 MAN LEAVES! Take the Browns.
SAN FRANCISCO +1 at Seattle
I know, I know, you must think I have some vendetta against the Seahawks this year…or you have no idea what I am talking about. To clarify, I always seem to bet against the ‘Hawks, and I’ve lost a few times, sure. But for the most part, this has been a winning strategy and I dont see that stopping this week. If i was even more of a gambling man than I already am I’d take the 49ers moneyline. I just can see Seattle running their offense this week by allowing Julius Jones back into the fold. Justin Forsett was THE MAN last week and he should be the main ball carrier but he wont be and they will lose because of it.
Also, where the hell has Mike Singletary been this season? Last year he was taking pants off and yelling at reporters and benching players. I mean, remember this?
How awesome was that? CAN’T DO IT. This year, he’s turned into the black, dentures lisping Bill Belichick. I don’t like it one bit. They 49ers have been losing because Singletary’s taken the edge off his game, if he brings it back old school this week, I really like their chances. Well…even if he doesn’t I like em. Take the 49ers.
Dallas at NY GIANTS +1
This is a tough game to pick. Eli is still injured and this team does not work with him injured. So why am I picking the Giants, especially after losing last week to the Broncos? Simple. I hate the Cowboys and think that 8-3 is way above where they should be record wise at this point in the season. They must regress to the mean. This will be the start. Take the Giants. My non-scientific approach to sports gambling tells you so.
BALTIMORE +3 at Green Bay
The Pack has been an underwhelming team even with a 7-4 record. The Ravens have been more underwhelming. Despite the Packers’ offense lighting up the fantasy scoreboard all season, their line stinks and while the Ravens’ defense isnt what it used to be, they should be able to attack the Packers with the blitz, and cause Rogers to do too much. This week, I like Joe Flaccooooe to win hun. Take the Ravens.
UPSET SPECIAL OF THE WEEK
TENNESSEE +6.5 at Indianapolis
This is one game I am looking forward to. It was just a few weeks ago that Titans coach Jeff Fisher wanted to be a winner like Peyton Manning, now his team has won 5 in a row and is somehow in the playoff hunt. The Colts are unbeaten and this might be the week that they finally lose one of these close games they’ve been playing lately. Comeback win against the Texans, win by 2 against the Ravens, win by 1 against the Patriots, win by 3 at home against the Texans, win by just 4 against the 49ers…this doesnt inspire confidence does it? I think this week, the colts go DOWN. If I was any more certain, I’d take the Titans moneyline at +230, but instead, i’ll play it safe and take the points. If they don’t win, it is gonna be a close one.
LOCK OF THE WEEK
MINNESOTA -3.5 at Arizona
Minnesota is a damn good team, damn good. Arizona might be starting Matt Leinart. Is there any reason why this line is still -3.5? Just take the Vikings already, this is as sure a thing as possible.
*Deuce of Davenport is only doing this column for entertainment purposes only, you’d be a fool to actually follow any of this advice and/or these picks. We accept no responsibility for anyone actually gambling with these picks.
WOW. Last week was awesome huh? If i didn’t monkey around and give you guys the over/under/ml picks I would’ve gotten 12 of 13 right. As it was, I got 8 right and 5 wrong here. Amazingly my lock of the week was the only game against the spread that I lost, the rest was just crazy picks for you kids and I am vowing now to not go nuts and give you more spread picks. All in all, last week was our best week of the season by far and it will only get better. To date, I am 60-53, 4-4 on locks of the week and 2-6 on upset specials. Lets keep making money this week, on to the picks. As always, all lines are from TheGreek. Hot cheerleader is Sabrina C. from the Atlanta Falcons. Scroll to the bottom if you want to skip to the Upset Special and the Lock of the Week.*
KANSAS CITY +6.5 at Jacksonville
After the stinker the Jags laid last week, I am not sure how they are favored by almost a touchdown against the Chiefs. They’ve lost to the Titans and only beat the Rams by 3 points, are we so sure that they will beat the Chiefs down by a friggin touchdown? Certainly NOT! I personally think its more likely that without the Larry Johnson mope-show around, the Chiefs might be focused enough to actually win this one. Clock is always right two times a day, this might be the 2nd time. Take the Chiefs.
Baltimore at Cincinnati +3
Ok, the Bengals went to Baltimore and beat the Ravens, but the Ravens are the favorites on the road against them…I don’t get it. This, to me, is an example of the public putting money on a sentimental favorite and not giving respect to the underdog…who shouldn’t be an underdog. Have you seen the Bengals’ record this year? Here’s a hint, it is better than the Ravens’ record. Just take the home dog, and watch double your money come back to you.
DETROIT +10 at Seattle
Stafford is gonna play, Megatron (see right) is back and Kevin Smith isnt hurt, surely they can keep up with the Seahawks in this one. Yes we all know Seattle is a difficult place to play, but the ‘Hawks are hurting on their O line and their running game is horrendous even when it is healthy. They won’t be able to grind out a win here, Detroit will keep this one close. Take the Lions to cover.
Also, how fucking cool is it that Calvin Johnson is nicknamed Megatron? Its a great nickname, I’d love to be nicknamed Megatron, but despite its awesomeness, does it even make any sense to call him that? Its not like he is evil, its not like the Lions are the “bad guys” in any game they play in, and its not like he’s the leader of the team. He is a wide receiver, by the nature of his position he is a complimentary player.
I think that if Calvin Johnson had to be nicknamed for a Transformer, he should’ve been named Ultra Magnus (see right). Don’t know who he is? Well do listen on. First off, he is an Autobot, a good guy, which by all accounts Calvin Johnson is. Also, the Autobots were the gritty gutty underdogs a lot of the time to the Decepticons and their evil schemes. Always on the defense, never on the attack. See, UM was a city commander, not a supreme commander like Optimus Prime or something, so he wasn’t the man in charge, just one of the team leaders. A complimentary role. He also was a car carrier when he transformed. He could literally carry his team on his back if need be, much like CJ can do now. Also, when he did kick it into gear, he was one of the most devastating Autobots out there. Plus Ultra Magnus is just a damn cool name. If I ever have a son, you’d better believe that boy is going to be named Ultra Magnus. Magnus Ver Magnusson can suck it!
Houston at INDIANAPOLIS -9
Really not sure what is going to happen here, I think the loss of Owen Daniels is really going to hurt the Texans’ offense more than a lot of people think. Without O.D. and with Ryan Moats starting at RB for them, I just think the Colts’ defense can key in on Andre Johnson and keep shutting down Kevin Walter like so many teams have before them. I mean, Moats had himself a heck of a game last week, but there is a reason that no one in fantasy football had even considered picking Ryan Moats off the waiver wire at any point in his professional football career…he’s Ryan Fucking Moats. Moats! Even his name sounds like he is running through sludge. Take the Colts.
GREEN BAY -9.5 at Tampa Bay
This one, in theory, should be a cakewalk for the Pack. The Bucs are horrible, just horrible and the Packers have proven that when Aaron Rogers has time to throw, he’s damn near unstoppable. Don’t even think about taking the Bucs here. Its Packers all the way.
Miami at New England -10.5
Miami is not going to be able to catch up to New England once they take the lead and begin pressing down on the neck of the Dolphins…wait do Dolphins even have necks? Maybe they’ll just be pushing down on the blow hole or some shit. Anyway, the Patriots are feeling the flow right now, Brady and Moss and WELLLKAHH yadda yadda you know what is gonna happen here. Pats win, boring. You take the Pats to win, you win, exciting. Exciting is good. Do it.
Carolina at NEW ORLEANS -13
If any game has the smell of “Letdown Game” all over it, it is this one, yet I am still picking the Saints. The reason is that once Carolina gets behind, they are going to have to throw. When Carolina throws, Darren Sharper is going to be intercepting balls from Jake Delhomme to the tune of at least 10 times in this game, with 6 of them being returned for touchdowns. A little bit of exaggeration to prove the point. Carolina’s run game will not be able to carry them in this one. Book it. Ship it. Saints cover, take em.
Tennessee at SAN FRANCISCO -4
I love the 49ers this season. They play in some entertaining games and even though they’ve lost their last 3 games, they are a fun and firey team to watch, especially with Alex Smith finally playing up to his potential (well, somewhat, he was a #1 pick so he’s got a ways to go). I think this one San Fran wins. We all know the Titans are a bad football team and even though they dismantled the Jags last week, they will show their spots in this one. The Vince Young comeback trail will hit a gigantic pothole against the 49ers defense and the wheels should come off. San Fran should come away winning this one by a TD easy.
SAN DIEGO +4.5 at New York Giants
The Giants are a hurt team. Ever since Eli has battled his foot injury he has been less than effective at the helm of the Giants offense, and that was after one brilliant start to the season. Not to mention the health of their secondary with Aaron Ross probably out again. Meanwhile the Chargers have won 2 in a row but really haven’t beat anyone good this year. This is their chance…which of course means Norv will fuck it up somehow. Regardless, I’m all over the Chargers in this one.
Speaking of NYC though, what the hell is up with the massive all media orgy over the NY Giants winning the World Series? I know New Yorkers think their city is the center of the universe and pretty much the center of the news media universe, but Christ on a stick, if I have to hear “All is right in the universe now” or “The world is right again” or “The trophy is back where it belongs” from another mouth breathing or “I am not emo anymore because being a hipster is much cooler” New Yorker I might actually have to slap a bitch. The trophy belongs with whomever won that year asshats. You never hear Steelers’ fans say “All is right in the universe now, the Lombardi trophy is back where it belongs” when they win yet another Super Bowl? You dont hear it when the Red Wings dominate yet another Stanley Cup? No, so shut the fuck up and enjoy your moment in somewhat of a classy manner. You remember how you hated all the wannabe Red Sox fanboy assholes with their pink hats and popped collars suddenly thinking their shit didn’t stink because they were fans of a team that won a couple World Series? Remember that? Well learn from it for once. You’ve won 2 World Series in 9 years, congrats…that is a .222 average. Whoop-de-fuckin-doo. That is better than some, not as good as others. Also, you live in a city where you cannot see the sun. YOU CANNOT SEE THE SUN AND YOUR STREETS STINK LIKE YESTERDAY’S GARBAGE. Enjoy your parade fucksticks and I hate you all.
Dallas at Philadelphia UNDER 48
Philadelphia’s offense thrives off of the big play, as does Dallas’ offense. Miles Austin’s whole career has been based off the big play so far. So guess what? I dont think any big plays are gonna happen here this week. I’m going out on a limb on this one and I’m gonna say both of their defenses are actually playing better than both of their offenses right now and I think that this one actually could be quite a defensive struggle. Will it happen? Probably not with my track record on over/unders, but I am gonna give it a shot anyway. Go under!
PITTSBURGH -3 at Denver
The Steelers are back…well Polamalu is back, which means the STEELERS ARE BACK. Denver lost for the first time last week and they will lose this one as well because while they will pressure Big Ben and sack him a couple times, they will also get gashed when they blitz and fail. The sacks will not balance out the times they get beat. Also, the Broncos’ dink and dunk offense will not be able to get any momentum against the vaunted Steelers defense, preventing the surprising Broncos D from getting off the field enough to be competitive late in the game. Steelers win this and cover, take em.
UPSET SPECIAL OF THE WEEK
ARIZONA +3 at Chicago
Two weeks ago the Cardinals went out to the east coast and shocked the world by beating the Giants. Well, ok they didnt shock me, I picked that game right dammit. Trust me when I say that I am also picking this one right. The Cards lost in a bad way to the Panthers last week as their running game tore up the Cardinals defense…luckily the Bears are struggling a bit in their running game this season. As a matter of fact, the Bears are struggling in all facets of their game right now and that is why I am liking the Cardinals to win this one. The Bears defense will struggle to stop the high flying Cards offense from scoring, even if Boldin is out for the game. If Arizona can get any pressure on Cutler, he will throw an INT or two. If you were brave, you’d take the ML, but since its only +125, you should take the points.
LOCK OF THE WEEK
Washington at ATLANTA -10
Normally a bye week should help a team. I do not think it has helped the Redskins too much to have 2 weeks to sit around and think about the abortion of a season they are having right now. This season is going so bad, Dan Snyder, he of the Dark Heart, even showed himself in public and sort of apologized to his fans…sorta. Players dont know what is going on. Coaches dont know what is going on and are blaming the players. Players are blaming themselves and the front office. The front office doesn’t know what is going on and is blaming the coaches. The fans certainly dont know what is going on but they do know there are people to blame and it starts at the top at the owner. Total disarray here in Washington DC…which leads me to this double negative. There is no way the Redskins don’t get blown out this week by the Falcons. No. Way. In. Hell. The season has been a bad one, but the one thing missing so far is a dominating blow out by an opponent and I think it happens this week. This is the week it goes from embarrassing to just sad. A cloud of no hope will fall on the city (if it weren’t there already) and it is a LOCK that this week Atlanta covers 10 points and makes the city of Washington sick to their stomachs watching this poor excuse of a football team.
*Deuce of Davenport is only doing this column for entertainment purposes only, you’d be a fool to actually follow any of this advice and/or these picks. We accept no responsibility for anyone actually gambling with these picks.